Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.232608 0.250570 0.269593 0.291299 0.315452 0.341582 0.372096
2025-12-21 0.197525 0.222481 0.250588 0.284835 0.325769 0.373557 0.434202
2025-12-28 0.181884 0.211531 0.246450 0.291144 0.347617 0.417696 0.513026
2026-01-04 0.169467 0.202015 0.241711 0.294556 0.364429 0.455707 0.587600
2026-01-11 0.158479 0.192722 0.235691 0.294792 0.376004 0.486934 0.656112
2026-01-18 0.147186 0.181857 0.226369 0.289244 0.378446 0.504979 0.707216
2026-01-25 0.136611 0.171018 0.216037 0.281066 0.375869 0.514824 0.746338
2026-02-01 0.128501 0.162824 0.208531 0.275954 0.376825 0.529426 0.794309
2026-02-08 0.120957 0.154879 0.200748 0.269670 0.375183 0.539425 0.835463
2026-02-15 0.114845 0.148513 0.194704 0.265345 0.375921 0.552927 0.884208
2026-02-22 0.111572 0.145880 0.193720 0.268357 0.388201 0.586375 0.974191
2026-03-01 0.107398 0.141720 0.190236 0.267215 0.393542 0.608407 1.045845
2026-03-08 0.103330 0.137627 0.186782 0.266138 0.399336 0.632699 1.128358
2026-03-15 0.098283 0.131891 0.180602 0.260358 0.396739 0.641662 1.180976
2026-03-22 0.096546 0.130904 0.181479 0.265931 0.414172 0.689961 1.330057
2026-03-29 0.094309 0.129040 0.180868 0.268946 0.427255 0.731487 1.473495
2026-04-05 0.091583 0.126293 0.178708 0.269154 0.435142 0.763508 1.601493
2026-04-12 0.087906 0.121931 0.173767 0.264250 0.432948 0.774186 1.676483
2026-04-19 0.083963 0.117004 0.167700 0.257012 0.425674 0.773097 1.719224
2026-04-26 0.080838 0.113231 0.163322 0.252484 0.423295 0.782466 1.794289
2026-05-03 0.077684 0.109297 0.158516 0.246913 0.418397 0.785600 1.851963
2026-05-10 0.075060 0.106105 0.154791 0.243075 0.416673 0.795830 1.934505
2026-05-17 0.073859 0.105120 0.154658 0.245748 0.428446 0.839332 2.137478